Do the graphs below (courtesy of the NSIDC) seem to suggest sea ice is going anywhere anytime soon? Check closely…

Bonus points for the first to mention ‘but the models’ and/or ‘but tipping points’, even though none seem to have been reached at any point over the period of these records, and indeed the recent trend is a slowing, perhaps a reverse tipping point, right, even as CO2 emissions have continued on the up? At any rate I’m just going with the observations on this one…

On the back of a coaster the green line, given a decrease of around 300,000km2 in 14 years, will take another (14 x 14years =) 196 years to disappear entirely (and only in the summer don’t forget), give or take a few decades, but I’m sure those in the late 2100s early 2200s will have a better idea by then right?…

And what about if we take 2012 as the starting point for a new trend line?… Well, the trend is now upwards in that case, and 2021 is likely to push that even higher…

As for the Antarctic, well, not sure much needs to be said really. At least potentially for another 250-300 years or so…

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